Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
14.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1979 |
VOL
1 - 3
AJA
19%
25%
56%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1979 |
AJA
4 - 1
ADO
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1979 |
RJC
1 - 3
AJA
28%
27%
46%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1979 |
AJA
1 - 0
SPA
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1979 |
VIT
0 - 0
AJA
23%
22%
55%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1979 |
ADO
3 - 2
AZA
30%
26%
44%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1979 |
AZA
2 - 0
SPA
71%
18%
12%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1979 |
NEC
1 - 0
AZA
19%
26%
56%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1979 |
AZA
0 - 0
MVV
82%
12%
6%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1979 |
NAC
2 - 3
AZA
30%
26%
44%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |