Ajax vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
45.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
AJA
4 - 1
RJC
69%
18%
13%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2005 |
AJA
2 - 2
ADO
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
AZA
4 - 2
AJA
30%
25%
45%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2005 |
SPA
1 - 1
AJA
30%
26%
44%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
WIL
0 - 2
AJA
21%
23%
56%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
WHU
0 - 0
ARS
13%
22%
65%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2005 |
ARS
2 - 0
EVE
80%
13%
7%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2005 |
ARS
2 - 1
THU
81%
13%
6%
|
94 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
MID
2 - 1
ARS
19%
25%
57%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2005 |
ARS
4 - 1
FUL
79%
14%
7%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |