Ajax vs FC Amsterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.1%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.3%
5.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1978 |
JUV
1 - 1
AJA
60%
22%
18%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
VOL
1 - 6
AJA
23%
27%
50%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1978 |
AJA
7 - 0
TEL
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1978 |
AJA
1 - 1
JUV
60%
22%
18%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1978 |
GAE
1 - 0
AJA
26%
27%
48%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
FC Amsterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
AMS
3 - 2
HFC
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1978 |
AMS
0 - 0
ADO
51%
24%
26%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1978 |
TWE
0 - 2
AMS
78%
15%
8%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
AMS
0 - 7
PSV
23%
24%
54%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1978 |
NEC
0 - 0
AMS
55%
25%
21%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |