Ajax vs FC Amsterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.6%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.3%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.4%
6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1976 |
FEY
1 - 1
AJA
64%
19%
17%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1976 |
AJA
4 - 0
GAE
82%
11%
6%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1976 |
TEL
0 - 0
AJA
25%
26%
50%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
AJA
7 - 0
UTR
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1976 |
TWE
1 - 2
AJA
50%
25%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FC Amsterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1976 |
AMS
2 - 2
SPA
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1976 |
ADO
3 - 0
AMS
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1976 |
AMS
0 - 0
PSV
22%
24%
54%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
HFC
3 - 1
AMS
49%
25%
25%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1976 |
AMS
2 - 6
AZA
46%
27%
28%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |