Ajax vs FC Amsterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.8%
Win probability
4.21
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.7%
10-1
0.3%
+9
0.9%
8-0
1.5%
9-1
0.6%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.2%
7-0
2.8%
8-1
1.3%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.4%
6-0
4.6%
7-1
2.5%
8-2
0.6%
9-3
0.1%
+6
7.8%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
4.2%
7-2
1.2%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
12.1%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
6%
6-2
1.9%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.7%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.6%
6.3%
Draw
0-0
0.6%
1-1
2.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
6.3%
3.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 1973 |
GRO
0 - 4
AJA
17%
27%
56%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1973 |
AJA
1 - 0
JUV
80%
12%
9%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1973 |
AJA
3 - 0
AZA
91%
7%
2%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1973 |
MVV
1 - 0
AJA
20%
28%
53%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1973 |
AJA
4 - 2
SPA
71%
16%
12%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FC Amsterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 1973 |
AMS
2 - 1
PSV
34%
23%
43%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1973 |
NAC
1 - 0
AMS
37%
27%
36%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 May. 1973 |
AMS
0 - 1
GRO
70%
19%
11%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1973 |
FEY
7 - 2
AMS
82%
11%
7%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 1973 |
AMS
1 - 1
NEC
57%
23%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |