Ajax vs FC Amsterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.8%
Win probability
4.26
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.7%
10-1
0.3%
+9
1%
8-0
1.5%
9-1
0.7%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.3%
7-0
2.8%
8-1
1.4%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.5%
6-0
4.6%
7-1
2.6%
8-2
0.7%
9-3
0.1%
+6
8%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
4.3%
7-2
1.2%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
12.2%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
6.1%
6-2
2%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.8%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.4%
6.2%
Draw
0-0
0.6%
1-1
2.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
6.2%
3.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1973 |
GLA
1 - 3
AJA
50%
22%
27%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1973 |
HFC
0 - 4
AJA
10%
17%
74%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1973 |
AZA
0 - 5
AJA
14%
23%
63%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1972 |
AJA
4 - 0
MVV
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1972 |
SPA
3 - 1
AJA
41%
27%
33%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FC Amsterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1973 |
AMS
2 - 0
TEL
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1973 |
AMS
0 - 0
NAC
66%
20%
15%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1972 |
GRO
4 - 0
AMS
36%
28%
36%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1972 |
AMS
1 - 3
FEY
24%
20%
56%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 1972 |
NEC
1 - 0
AMS
42%
25%
33%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |