Ajax vs Amsterdam FC DWS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.5%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.1%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.4%
4%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1969 |
AJA
2 - 0
TWE
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1969 |
AJA
2 - 1
MVV
90%
8%
3%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1969 |
TNV
2 - 0
AJA
27%
23%
50%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
FEY
1 - 1
AJA
53%
23%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1969 |
AJA
3 - 0
TNV
87%
8%
4%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Amsterdam FC DWS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1969 |
TEL
0 - 2
DWS
34%
29%
37%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1969 |
FOR
0 - 0
DWS
38%
30%
33%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
DWS
0 - 0
SPA
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1969 |
NAC
1 - 1
DWS
39%
29%
32%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1969 |
DWS
4 - 2
GAE
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |