Ajax vs Amsterdam FC DWS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.8%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.1%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.7%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.6%
4.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1968 |
VOL
1 - 4
AJA
21%
24%
55%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1968 |
VVD
1 - 1
AJA
23%
24%
53%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1967 |
AJA
3 - 0
TEL
88%
9%
4%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1967 |
GAE
0 - 1
AJA
27%
25%
48%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1967 |
ADO
1 - 0
AJA
36%
25%
39%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Amsterdam FC DWS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1968 |
DWS
1 - 3
NEC
60%
19%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1968 |
DWS
1 - 2
XER
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1967 |
FEY
4 - 0
DWS
79%
14%
7%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1967 |
PSV
5 - 1
DWS
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1967 |
DWS
2 - 1
TWE
70%
16%
14%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |