Ajax vs Amsterdam FC DWS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.3%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
13.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1966 |
TWE
1 - 1
AJA
25%
21%
55%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1966 |
AJA
4 - 1
NAC
73%
16%
12%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1966 |
ELI
0 - 7
AJA
22%
21%
57%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1966 |
ELI
3 - 3
AJA
21%
21%
57%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1966 |
AJA
2 - 0
FEY
45%
23%
32%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Amsterdam FC DWS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1966 |
DWS
0 - 1
FEY
34%
25%
41%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1966 |
GAE
1 - 0
DWS
43%
24%
33%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 1966 |
DWS
3 - 1
VVD
63%
20%
17%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1966 |
DWS
1 - 2
VVD
65%
19%
16%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1966 |
SPA
1 - 0
DWS
38%
25%
37%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | -1 |