Ajax vs AEK Athens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
16.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
AJA
3 - 0
GRO
74%
16%
10%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
VIT
0 - 4
AJA
23%
22%
55%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
DYN
0 - 0
AJA
41%
24%
35%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
AJA
5 - 0
FCE
82%
13%
5%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
AJA
3 - 1
DYN
52%
23%
25%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
AEK
4 - 0
PAN
80%
15%
6%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
TRI
0 - 1
AEK
40%
29%
32%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +3 |
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
AEK
1 - 1
FHV
56%
24%
20%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
AEK
2 - 0
GIA
61%
22%
18%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
FHV
1 - 2
AEK
46%
28%
26%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |