Uefa Youth League 1/32
Global 5-1
Ajax U19 vs Spartak Moskva U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.2%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
10.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
AJA
8 - 1
VOL
87%
9%
4%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
SMO
0 - 3
AJA
23%
21%
56%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
ALK
0 - 1
AJA
34%
22%
43%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
NEC
3 - 0
AJA
10%
15%
74%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | -3 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
AJA
2 - 0
SCH
57%
21%
22%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Spartak Moskva U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
SMO
0 - 3
AJA
23%
21%
56%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
REV
0 - 0
SMO
81%
13%
6%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
SMO
4 - 0
REV
10%
17%
73%
|
14 | 53 | 39 | +14 |