Ajax U19 vs AZ Alkmaar U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.5%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
9.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+83%
+128%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
MFK
0 - 5
AJA
23%
21%
56%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
SPR
1 - 2
AJA
16%
20%
65%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
GRO
3 - 0
AJA
15%
20%
65%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | -4 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
AJA
2 - 0
ADO
86%
10%
4%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
INT
1 - 1
AJA
53%
22%
24%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
ALK
5 - 0
NAB
78%
14%
8%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
ALK
1 - 1
GRA
86%
10%
4%
|
31 | 11 | 20 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
HEE
1 - 1
ALK
18%
21%
61%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | -2 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
AJA
4 - 2
ALK
71%
17%
12%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2010 |
ALK
0 - 4
AJA
30%
24%
46%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |