Ajax U18 vs Twente / Heracles U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.9%
Win probability
3.34
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.8%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
10.8%
7.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+155%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
1º
4º
1º
12
3º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 17 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
12 | 12 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 9 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 4
AJA
31%
21%
48%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
THS
3 - 5
AJA
29%
21%
51%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2022 |
PEZ
5 - 4
AJA
10%
15%
76%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | -2 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
AJA
5 - 0
FEY
65%
18%
18%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
AJA
1 - 2
PSV
37%
21%
42%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Twente / Heracles U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
FEY
2 - 1
THS
67%
17%
16%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
THS
3 - 5
AJA
29%
21%
51%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
THS
2 - 2
ADO
74%
14%
12%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
THS
4 - 0
GRA
28%
21%
52%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
PSV
3 - 1
THS
84%
10%
6%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | -1 |