Ajax U18 vs Twente / Heracles U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.3%
21.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+155%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
1º
2º
2º
13
6º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 32 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
31 | 31 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 19 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
13 | 13 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 13 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 5 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ADO
0 - 3
AJA
41%
22%
38%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
PSV
3 - 0
AJA
75%
14%
11%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
ADO
1 - 6
AJA
51%
21%
28%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
AJA
3 - 1
NAC
68%
16%
15%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
AZK
2 - 0
AJA
72%
16%
12%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Twente / Heracles U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
THS
1 - 2
AZK
23%
20%
57%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
THS
2 - 0
VIT
54%
20%
26%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
SPR
2 - 3
THS
16%
18%
65%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
THS
4 - 2
UTR
67%
17%
16%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
GRA
2 - 0
THS
61%
19%
20%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |