Ajax U18 vs AZ Alkmaar U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.7%
19.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
1º
4º
1º
23
3º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 17 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 12 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 9 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
AJA
4 - 0
FEY
64%
18%
18%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
AJA
3 - 0
SPR
79%
12%
9%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
FEY
1 - 3
AJA
38%
23%
40%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2023 |
PSV
3 - 0
AJA
59%
19%
22%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
PEZ
3 - 3
AJA
12%
16%
72%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
AZK
4 - 2
PEZ
77%
14%
9%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
AZK
1 - 0
UTR
46%
21%
32%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
PSV
0 - 1
AZK
72%
15%
12%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +2 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
AZK
1 - 1
THS
74%
15%
11%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
AZK
2 - 2
AJA
36%
21%
43%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |