Ajax Lasnamäe vs Vaprus Pärnu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
28.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax Lasnamäe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
LEV
11 - 3
AJA
82%
12%
6%
|
51 | 77 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
AJA
3 - 2
TAR
35%
25%
41%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
FLO
6 - 0
AJA
79%
15%
7%
|
51 | 76 | 25 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2006 |
AJA
0 - 5
TRA
15%
21%
64%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
TVM
1 - 0
AJA
90%
8%
2%
|
51 | 78 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
WAR
1 - 2
PAR
25%
23%
53%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
PAR
1 - 3
LEV
14%
20%
66%
|
52 | 77 | 25 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
TAR
4 - 3
PAR
65%
19%
16%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2006 |
PAR
1 - 4
FLO
13%
18%
68%
|
52 | 76 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
TRA
5 - 1
PAR
83%
11%
6%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | -1 |