Ajax Lasnamäe vs Kaitseliit Kalev analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.4%
14.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax Lasnamäe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
AJA
5 - 1
KOE
79%
12%
9%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
AJA
2 - 1
KJK
79%
12%
9%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
VEL
1 - 1
AJA
20%
19%
61%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
AJA
0 - 3
MCT
86%
9%
5%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
ALK
4 - 2
AJA
51%
21%
28%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Kaitseliit Kalev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
KAI
1 - 2
JOH
25%
24%
52%
|
29 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
NOM
5 - 1
KAI
79%
13%
8%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
KAI
1 - 1
TKA
51%
21%
29%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
AJA
2 - 0
KAI
69%
16%
15%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
KAI
6 - 2
MCT
73%
15%
13%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |