Cape Town Spurs vs Golden Arrows analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
49.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
10º
16º
16º
38
1º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cape Town Spurs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
SWA
3 - 1
AJA
53%
26%
21%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
AJA
0 - 1
CHI
41%
28%
31%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
POL
3 - 1
AJA
43%
28%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
AJA
0 - 2
SUF
38%
30%
33%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
TSG
1 - 0
AJA
50%
27%
24%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Golden Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
GOL
0 - 0
SFC
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
SSU
0 - 3
GOL
49%
27%
25%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
GOL
3 - 2
POL
55%
25%
21%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
SUN
4 - 0
GOL
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
RIB
1 - 2
GOL
24%
27%
49%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |