Ajax Amateurs vs De Valk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
20.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax Amateurs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 0
AJA
56%
22%
22%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
AJA
1 - 1
SPA
41%
23%
35%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
MON
0 - 2
AJA
26%
23%
51%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
AJA
4 - 0
SDV
81%
13%
6%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
AJA
2 - 0
DVS
56%
22%
22%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
De Valk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
GRO
0 - 3
DEV
57%
21%
22%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
DEV
3 - 2
VEN
67%
19%
14%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
DON
2 - 0
DEV
61%
20%
19%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
DEV
2 - 1
DEU
38%
25%
37%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
NUE
1 - 1
DEV
39%
24%
37%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |