Ajax Amateurs vs SV TEC Tiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
28.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
5º
16º
16º
42
5º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 52 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 48 |
8º
|
82% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 45 |
9º
|
76% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
29% | |
|
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
44% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 41 |
12º
|
58% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 36 |
14º
|
39.5% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 36 |
15º
|
37.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
16º
|
18.5% | |
|
17º
|
30 | 30 |
17º
|
81% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
44.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
55.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax Amateurs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
URK
0 - 1
AJA
50%
24%
27%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
DEM
2 - 2
AJA
35%
25%
41%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
AJA
2 - 1
HSC
56%
21%
23%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
HAR
0 - 2
AJA
73%
17%
10%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
AJA
3 - 3
EXC
44%
23%
32%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
SV TEC Tiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
TIE
2 - 0
DEM
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
HSC
0 - 1
TIE
43%
23%
34%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
TIE
1 - 1
HAR
20%
23%
57%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
EXC
3 - 1
TIE
47%
23%
30%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
TIE
3 - 3
GEN
29%
26%
45%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |