Ajax Amateurs vs Excelsior Maassluis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
26.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax Amateurs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
HHC
1 - 1
AJA
70%
18%
12%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
AJA
1 - 2
IJS
28%
23%
49%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
KOZ
2 - 0
AJA
65%
20%
16%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
AJA
1 - 1
HOE
49%
23%
28%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
CAP
0 - 0
AJA
52%
23%
25%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior Maassluis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
EXC
1 - 0
GVV
17%
20%
63%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
SPA
1 - 2
EXC
80%
13%
8%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
EXC
0 - 2
RIJ
26%
23%
51%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
ONS
3 - 2
EXC
46%
23%
30%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -2 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
EXC
0 - 2
HHC
23%
24%
53%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |