Ajax Amateurs vs Excelsior Maassluis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
29.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax Amateurs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
AJA
1 - 3
DTO
36%
25%
40%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
AJA
1 - 1
KLO
57%
22%
21%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
LIS
2 - 2
AJA
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
AJA
4 - 2
HOE
40%
25%
35%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +2 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
TER
1 - 0
AJA
56%
23%
21%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior Maassluis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
EXC
1 - 1
KAT
39%
24%
37%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
NOO
3 - 1
EXC
57%
22%
21%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
EXC
3 - 1
ARC
60%
21%
19%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
DTO
2 - 1
EXC
55%
22%
22%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
EXC
1 - 0
CAP
35%
25%
39%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +2 |