Ajax Amateurs vs Excelsior .31 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
43.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax Amateurs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
ODI
1 - 0
AJA
73%
16%
11%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
AJA
2 - 1
TER
38%
25%
38%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
STE
3 - 0
AJA
50%
23%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
AJA
2 - 1
VVO
72%
17%
11%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
AJA
2 - 1
ONS
73%
16%
11%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
EXC
2 - 2
LIS
56%
22%
22%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
EXC
6 - 1
ONS
82%
12%
6%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
DOV
2 - 6
EXC
40%
24%
36%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
VVO
0 - 1
EXC
17%
22%
61%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2019 |
EXC
1 - 4
UTR
5%
11%
85%
|
48 | 81 | 33 | -1 |