Ajax Amateurs vs RKVV DEM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
20.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
5º
16º
16º
30
11º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 52 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 48 |
8º
|
82% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 45 |
9º
|
76% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
29% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
44% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 41 |
12º
|
58% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 36 |
14º
|
39.5% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 36 |
15º
|
37.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
16º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
30 | 30 |
17º
|
81% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
44.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
55.5% | 19% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 81% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax Amateurs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
DEM
1 - 2
AJA
43%
24%
33%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
HSC
1 - 4
AJA
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
AJA
1 - 0
HAR
34%
24%
42%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
EXC
2 - 1
AJA
62%
20%
17%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
AJA
2 - 1
HUI
40%
25%
35%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
RKVV DEM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
DEM
1 - 2
AJA
43%
24%
33%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
DEM
0 - 3
URK
48%
24%
28%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
DEM
2 - 1
HSC
40%
25%
35%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
HAR
3 - 1
DEM
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
DEM
0 - 4
ADO
34%
23%
43%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |