Ajax Amateurs vs Berkum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.9%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
16.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
11º
8º
38
8º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
47% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
51% | |
|
|
10º
|
38 | 39 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
30% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
30% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajax Amateurs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
OLD
1 - 0
AJA
23%
21%
56%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
SWI
1 - 1
AJA
43%
25%
33%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
AJA
2 - 3
HED
70%
17%
13%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
APE
2 - 2
AJA
30%
24%
46%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
AJA
2 - 2
SDV
79%
13%
8%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Berkum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
BER
0 - 1
SWI
33%
23%
44%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
APE
2 - 1
BER
53%
22%
25%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
BER
2 - 2
DET
25%
24%
51%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
HUI
0 - 2
BER
56%
22%
22%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
BER
2 - 0
HZV
44%
23%
33%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |