Ajaccio vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
26.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2017 |
RED
2 - 0
AJA
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2017 |
AJA
2 - 1
CLE
36%
27%
37%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2017 |
BOU
3 - 2
AJA
51%
26%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2017 |
AJA
1 - 0
ORL
52%
26%
23%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2017 |
TRO
1 - 2
AJA
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2017 |
VAL
0 - 0
LHA
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2017 |
STL
0 - 0
VAL
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2017 |
VAL
0 - 1
BRE
50%
27%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2017 |
REI
0 - 0
VAL
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2017 |
VAL
2 - 1
SOC
39%
28%
33%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |