Ajaccio vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
25.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
LEN
2 - 0
AJA
50%
28%
22%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
AJA
1 - 2
RED
38%
29%
33%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
BOU
3 - 0
AJA
48%
27%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
AJA
2 - 0
NIO
44%
28%
29%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
MET
3 - 2
AJA
52%
26%
22%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
VAL
1 - 2
CLE
36%
27%
37%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
NÎM
2 - 0
VAL
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
VAL
1 - 0
ETG
36%
27%
38%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
STL
0 - 3
VAL
56%
25%
20%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
VAL
0 - 1
BRE
41%
28%
31%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |