Ajaccio vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
39%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 0
AJA
54%
23%
23%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
GUI
2 - 1
AJA
52%
24%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
AJA
0 - 1
NAN
43%
28%
30%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
LIL
3 - 0
AJA
72%
17%
11%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
AJA
1 - 1
MPL
27%
26%
47%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2013 |
VAL
1 - 3
TRO
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
VAL
0 - 1
ETG
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
REN
2 - 2
VAL
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
VAL
1 - 1
REI
55%
25%
20%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
SOC
2 - 0
VAL
40%
27%
34%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |