Ajaccio vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.6%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
47%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
LMU
1 - 0
AJA
46%
25%
28%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
AUX
4 - 1
AJA
60%
24%
16%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
AJA
1 - 1
ETG
34%
28%
38%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
LYO
1 - 1
AJA
76%
16%
8%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
AJA
0 - 2
TFC
26%
29%
45%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
DIJ
3 - 2
VAL
37%
27%
36%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 2
GIR
28%
26%
46%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
PSG
2 - 1
VAL
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
VAL
0 - 0
BRE
59%
25%
16%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
CAE
1 - 0
VAL
40%
28%
32%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |