Ajaccio vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
26.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
MPL
3 - 1
AJA
60%
24%
17%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
AJA
0 - 1
MON
15%
23%
62%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
BAS
1 - 1
AJA
65%
22%
14%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2003 |
AJA
2 - 2
NIC
38%
29%
33%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
AJA
0 - 0
PSG
26%
29%
46%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
TFC
1 - 1
LMU
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
SOC
3 - 1
TFC
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
TFC
0 - 3
AUX
29%
29%
42%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2003 |
BAS
1 - 0
TFC
70%
19%
11%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
GUI
1 - 0
TFC
62%
23%
16%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |