Ajaccio vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
47.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
PSG
1 - 1
AJA
77%
15%
8%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
AJA
0 - 1
ASS
25%
27%
48%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
MPL
1 - 0
AJA
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
AJA
0 - 2
NIC
27%
26%
46%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
REN
1 - 1
AJA
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2013 |
APO
2 - 0
NIC
35%
26%
39%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
NIC
2 - 1
REN
44%
26%
30%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
LYO
4 - 0
NIC
63%
21%
17%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
NIC
0 - 0
ATH
42%
26%
32%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2013 |
NIC
0 - 1
LAZ
38%
27%
35%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |