Ajaccio vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
39%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 2
AJA
58%
24%
17%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
BOU
3 - 2
AJA
18%
22%
61%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
AJA
2 - 1
AUX
25%
28%
47%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
FRE
0 - 3
AJA
33%
26%
42%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
SOC
0 - 2
AJA
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 1
NIC
76%
17%
8%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
NIC
0 - 1
MPL
37%
27%
36%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
NIC
0 - 0
REN
36%
28%
37%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
BRE
1 - 0
NIC
40%
28%
32%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2012 |
NIC
3 - 3
DIJ
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |