Ajaccio vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
21.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1999 |
NÎM
1 - 0
AJA
50%
24%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1999 |
AJA
1 - 0
STL
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1999 |
GUI
1 - 1
AJA
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
AJA
1 - 3
AMI
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1999 |
LIL
4 - 2
AJA
59%
22%
19%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1999 |
NIC
2 - 0
LUS
37%
29%
34%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1999 |
NIC
1 - 1
NÎM
39%
29%
32%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1999 |
STL
1 - 1
NIC
48%
28%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1999 |
NIC
0 - 0
GUI
31%
30%
39%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 1999 |
AMI
4 - 1
NIC
53%
26%
21%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |