Ajaccio vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
23.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
NIO
2 - 0
AJA
32%
28%
40%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2020 |
AJA
1 - 1
LHA
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
VAL
1 - 1
AJA
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
AJA
0 - 0
CHA
60%
24%
17%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2020 |
GUI
2 - 2
AJA
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
ASN
2 - 3
TRO
23%
27%
50%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
ASN
2 - 2
AUX
34%
28%
38%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
SOC
1 - 1
ASN
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
ASN
1 - 3
TFC
33%
27%
40%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
CLE
2 - 0
ASN
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |