Ajaccio vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
33.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
BOR
2 - 3
AJA
9%
15%
76%
|
70 | 34 | 36 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2014 |
ORL
1 - 1
AJA
34%
29%
37%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2014 |
AJA
1 - 1
ANG
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
OLY
0 - 1
AJA
18%
21%
61%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2014 |
AJA
2 - 1
TRO
39%
27%
33%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
TRO
1 - 3
ASN
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2014 |
ASN
0 - 1
VAL
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2014 |
TRO
1 - 0
ASN
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
MON
0 - 3
ASN
8%
18%
74%
|
74 | 45 | 29 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2014 |
ASN
3 - 1
LUS
55%
24%
20%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |