Ajaccio vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
34.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
SOC
0 - 0
AJA
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
AJA
2 - 3
TFC
36%
30%
35%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 0
AJA
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
AJA
1 - 0
LOR
26%
26%
48%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 0
AJA
38%
26%
37%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
ASN
1 - 0
TRO
54%
25%
21%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
REN
0 - 2
ASN
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
ASN
1 - 0
NIC
32%
27%
41%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
PSG
2 - 1
ASN
78%
15%
7%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
SOC
1 - 2
ASN
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |