Ajaccio vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
41%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
PFC
0 - 0
AJA
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
ASN
3 - 0
AJA
60%
24%
16%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
AJA
1 - 0
AUX
37%
29%
35%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
CLE
2 - 1
AJA
47%
28%
25%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
AJA
0 - 0
STL
36%
29%
35%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
MET
2 - 2
CLE
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
BRE
1 - 1
MET
37%
30%
33%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
MET
1 - 2
NÎM
64%
22%
14%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
LHA
1 - 1
MET
38%
28%
34%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
MET
0 - 0
ASN
48%
27%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |