Ajaccio vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
63.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
16.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.2%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
20%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
ASS
3 - 1
AJA
66%
21%
13%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
AJA
2 - 2
CAE
20%
24%
56%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
LOR
2 - 0
AJA
67%
22%
12%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
AJA
0 - 2
GIR
19%
23%
58%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 0
AJA
79%
15%
7%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
LIL
2 - 0
BRE
80%
14%
6%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2011 |
CSK
0 - 2
LIL
41%
26%
33%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2011 |
TFC
0 - 0
LIL
20%
26%
53%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
LIL
1 - 1
ETG
78%
15%
7%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
INT
2 - 1
LIL
55%
23%
22%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |