Ajaccio vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.5%
29.9%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.9%
39.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2005 |
ASS
0 - 0
AJA
51%
27%
22%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
AJA
3 - 1
SOC
27%
28%
45%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
LIL
0 - 2
AJA
65%
21%
13%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
AJA
0 - 1
NIC
38%
28%
34%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
LYO
2 - 1
AJA
77%
16%
8%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2005 |
LIL
1 - 0
REN
50%
26%
24%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
AUX
1 - 3
LIL
54%
25%
20%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
LIL
0 - 2
AJA
65%
21%
13%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
NAN
1 - 3
LIL
46%
28%
26%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
LIL
1 - 0
PSG
45%
27%
27%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |