Ajaccio vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1999 |
FCG
3 - 1
AJA
43%
26%
32%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
AJA
4 - 3
RED
68%
19%
13%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1999 |
NÎM
2 - 1
AJA
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1999 |
AJA
0 - 3
TRO
55%
25%
21%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1999 |
CAN
1 - 0
AJA
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1999 |
LIL
2 - 1
VAL
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
STL
1 - 0
LIL
46%
28%
27%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1999 |
LIL
2 - 0
NIC
65%
21%
14%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1999 |
ASS
3 - 2
LIL
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1999 |
GUI
1 - 0
LIL
45%
29%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |