Ajaccio vs Evian Thonon Gaillard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
39.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
VAL
3 - 0
AJA
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
AJA
0 - 0
PSG
17%
24%
60%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
NIC
0 - 1
AJA
49%
27%
24%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
AJA
1 - 1
CAG
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
TFC
0 - 2
AJA
48%
29%
23%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Evian Thonon Gaillard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
ETG
1 - 1
LYO
22%
24%
54%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
BRE
1 - 0
ETG
38%
27%
34%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
ETG
2 - 3
GIR
28%
24%
47%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
ETG
0 - 1
BRE
60%
23%
16%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
NIC
1 - 1
ETG
41%
28%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |