Ajaccio vs Evian Thonon Gaillard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
38%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
LYO
1 - 1
AJA
76%
16%
8%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
AJA
0 - 2
TFC
26%
29%
45%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
RSO
4 - 0
AJA
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2011 |
NÎM
1 - 2
AJA
34%
28%
39%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2011 |
AJA
2 - 0
IST
51%
27%
22%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Evian Thonon Gaillard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
ETG
1 - 0
NIC
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
BRE
2 - 2
ETG
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2011 |
ETG
4 - 3
MET
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2011 |
REI
1 - 2
ETG
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
ETG
3 - 0
TRO
64%
22%
14%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |