Ajaccio vs Evian Thonon Gaillard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
35.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2011 |
MET
2 - 2
AJA
45%
28%
27%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
AJA
3 - 0
TRO
44%
29%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
LMU
3 - 0
AJA
56%
25%
19%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
AJA
2 - 1
LHA
42%
28%
29%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2010 |
IST
2 - 2
AJA
37%
29%
35%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Evian Thonon Gaillard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
ETG
1 - 0
CHA
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2011 |
TOU
1 - 0
ETG
40%
26%
33%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
ETG
3 - 0
NAN
56%
25%
19%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
STR
1 - 0
ETG
36%
26%
38%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
VAN
2 - 2
ETG
25%
27%
48%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | -1 |