Ajaccio vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
37.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
NIC
2 - 0
AJA
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
AJA
1 - 2
PSG
11%
20%
70%
|
72 | 91 | 19 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
QUI
1 - 2
AJA
4%
11%
85%
|
72 | 10 | 62 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
REI
4 - 1
AJA
57%
24%
20%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
AJA
1 - 2
LOR
26%
27%
48%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2014 |
CAE
2 - 1
STL
65%
22%
13%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2014 |
TOU
2 - 1
CAE
39%
26%
35%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
PON
1 - 3
CAE
7%
15%
78%
|
73 | 40 | 33 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2013 |
CAE
0 - 0
BRE
58%
25%
17%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2013 |
CAB
1 - 5
CAE
22%
24%
54%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |