Ajaccio vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
26.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
LIL
2 - 0
AJA
78%
14%
8%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
AJA
1 - 0
BRE
42%
29%
29%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
ARL
2 - 1
AJA
28%
26%
47%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
GIR
2 - 2
AJA
66%
21%
13%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
LYO
2 - 0
AJA
79%
14%
7%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
BAS
3 - 2
TRO
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
NIC
2 - 2
BAS
59%
24%
17%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
BAS
3 - 0
MET
53%
23%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
BAS
0 - 4
PSG
18%
24%
59%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
ETG
3 - 0
BAS
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |