Ajaccio vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
26.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2009 |
USB
0 - 1
AJA
59%
24%
18%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2009 |
AJA
0 - 2
AMI
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
GUI
0 - 0
AJA
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2009 |
AJA
0 - 2
TOU
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
STR
3 - 1
AJA
59%
24%
17%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2009 |
BAS
3 - 1
VAN
46%
26%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2009 |
LEN
1 - 0
BAS
71%
19%
10%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
BAS
0 - 2
BRE
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2009 |
SED
1 - 1
BAS
56%
25%
19%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
BAS
2 - 1
CHA
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |