Ajaccio vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
49.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2003 |
MPL
0 - 1
AJA
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
REN
3 - 0
AJA
71%
18%
11%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2003 |
AJA
1 - 0
TRO
27%
27%
45%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2003 |
SED
1 - 1
AJA
64%
22%
14%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2003 |
AJA
0 - 0
PSG
23%
28%
49%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2003 |
BAS
2 - 0
AUX
44%
27%
29%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2003 |
REN
0 - 1
BAS
50%
25%
26%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2003 |
BAS
2 - 0
LYO
32%
27%
42%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2003 |
MON
0 - 0
BAS
62%
21%
17%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2003 |
MAR
2 - 0
BAS
51%
26%
23%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | -1 |