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05 DEC 2015 19:30

Full-time

Ajaccio vs AS Excelsior analysis


61	ELO	20
-13.3%	Tilt	-10.6%
1372º	General ELO ranking	32200º
41º	Country ELO ranking	696º
ELO win probability

79%

Ajaccio

15.4%

Draw

5.6%

AS Excelsior

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

79%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
13%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
17.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.3%

15.4%

Draw

0-0

6.9%

1-1

6.6%

2-2

1.6%

3-3

0.2%

4-4

<0%

15.4%

5.6%

Win probability

0.43

Expected goals

0-1

1-2

1.4%

2-3

0.2%

3-4

-1

4.6%

0-2

0.6%

1-3

0.2%

2-4

-2

0.9%

0-3

0.1%

1-4

-3

0.1%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ajaccio

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
01 Dec. 2015	VAL 1 - 1 AJA 50% 26% 24%	61	62	1	0
27 Nov. 2015	AJA 1 - 1 LEN 28% 26% 46%	61	66	5	0
24 Nov. 2015	RED 1 - 1 AJA 53% 26% 21%	61	66	5	0
21 Nov. 2015	BRE 1 - 2 AJA 12% 19% 69%	61	22	39	0
06 Nov. 2015	AJA 2 - 0 BOU 29% 27% 44%	60	66	6	+1

Matches

AS Excelsior

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
15 Nov. 2015	EXC 1 - 0 POI 12% 18% 70%	14	45	31	0