Ajaccio U19 vs Bastia U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
21.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
7º
14º
11º
29
8º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
MON
1 - 0
AJA
51%
22%
27%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
AJA
0 - 0
AJA
85%
11%
5%
|
34 | 14 | 20 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
BAS
1 - 0
AJA
25%
22%
53%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
AJA
2 - 1
ETI
35%
24%
42%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
AJA
2 - 0
BEZ
56%
22%
22%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
BAS
0 - 1
NIC
39%
24%
37%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
MON
2 - 2
BAS
78%
13%
9%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
BAS
1 - 0
AJA
25%
22%
53%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
BEZ
0 - 0
BAS
45%
23%
32%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
BAS
0 - 0
MON
25%
23%
53%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |