Ajaccio II vs Nice II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
42.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ajaccio II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
BOR
5 - 1
AJA
48%
24%
28%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
AJA
0 - 2
ESP
50%
23%
27%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
FEU
1 - 2
AJA
42%
27%
31%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
AJA
1 - 2
FRE
43%
26%
31%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
AND
1 - 0
AJA
56%
23%
20%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
NIC
3 - 0
AUB
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
NIC
2 - 0
AGD
40%
27%
33%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +3 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
NIC
1 - 2
GRA
57%
23%
19%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
BOR
2 - 1
NIC
32%
24%
44%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -2 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
NIC
2 - 0
MAR
53%
25%
23%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +2 |